Tuesday, January 27, 2009

NBA WIZARD 2008-09 POWER RANKING: WEEK 13

RANK (LAST WK)REC.

1 (4) Celtics 37-9
I guess the Celtics have recovered from their slump from a few weeks ago, when they went 2-7 over a 9 games stretch. An eight game winning streak may have cured their bruised egos.
2 (3) Lakers 35-8
The Lakers have been steady and seem to clearly have the Spurs number. A win over the injury riddled Cavs helped boost their confidence, but their defense still remains a subject of discussion.
3 (2) Cavaliers 34-8
A four game West Coast trip without starting guard Delonte West and starting center Big Z was a good test for the Cavaliers. They lost to the Lakers, but followed up with impressive wins over Portland, Golden State and Utah. Lebron earned the Eastern Conference Player of the Week Award, in part to his game winning buzzer beater in Oakland.
4 (1) Magic 33-10
The Orlando Magic loss two straight after an impressive 33-8 start. I believe they reach their peak in their first half and I definitely expect a down slide in the second half of the season. I still expect them to finish with the 4th best record in the league, but rather than going 66-16 like they were previously tracking, they will probably end up 60-22.
5 (5) Spurs 29-14
The Spurs ended their perfect 3-0 week with a loss against the Lakers at Staples. In the past few seasons the Spurs were always considered an eminent threat, but this season they stand no chance against the Lakers. They can stay pat, or they should make a drastic move if they expect to seriously contend with the Lakers.
6 (6) Nuggets 29-15
A narrow 113-115 loss to the Rockets helped the Nuggets refocus. They won their last two games including an impressive 20 point blowout over the Jazz to end the week. Carmelo’s return should help bolster their scoring.
7 (7) Hornets 26-14
With Tyson out and West banged up, CP3 is doing his best to keep the Hornets afloat. Over the last five games, CP3 has averaged 25.8ppg, 11.6apg, while making 56 percent of his shots. The Hornets were 4-1 during that stretch.
8 (10) Rockets 28-17
If I had to give an award for the most impressive team considering their situation, it will have to go to the Houston Rockets. McGrady, Yao and Artest have all missed a ton of games, yet coach Adelman has no made excuses. His team continues to play well which is why many believe the Rockets could be the most dangerous team in the Western Conference when they are at full strength.
9 (9) Trail Blazers 26-17
The Blazers would have had a perfect 3-0 week if not for Lebron’s 34 point 14 assist performance. The one good thing is, they seem to have back off their threat about Miles and moved on. $9 million will be added to their cap this season and the next, which will restrict them from signing new free agents. Greg Oden’s 24 point 15 rebounds performance against the Bucks could be a sign of things to come. If he averages around 12ppg, 12rpg and 2+ blocks next season, they may not necessarily need to sign another player.
10 (14) Hawks 26-17
The Hawks 26-17 record is a reflection of injuries to Josh Smith and Al Horford. I still consider them one of the most dangerous teams in the East. At full strength they will cause the Celtics some major problems in the playoffs and could even upset the Celts.
11 (13) Heat 23-19
D-Wade is playing great, but I feel it’s necessary to put things in the proper perspective. The number one requirement for winning the MVP Award is that your team must win at least 50 games. The Heat would have to go 27-13 (.675) over their last 40 games. Even if that were to happen, Lebron or Kobe would probably win it because their teams will probably win 60 plus games each. For D-Wade to be the MVP, Miami will have to win 55 games, which means they will have to go 32-8 to finish the season. So now, let’s stop all this nonsense about Wade being an MVP this season because it is simply not going to happen, period!
12 (11) 76ers 21-21
The Sixers are playing very great and have made it back into the playoff picture in the East. It will be interesting to see what happens when Brand returns.
13 (15) Mavericks 25-19
The Mavericks inconsistent play may catch up with them, which is why they will spend the entire season battling the Suns and Jazz for the final two seeds in the Western Conference. I think they must trade Josh Howard in an effort to improve. The question is who will they trade for?
14 (8) Suns 24-18
If Amare isn’t scoring, his loses his defensive edge. The Suns are more of a half court team and he is more of a running the break type player. I am not saying just trade the guy, but if he’s really unhappy like I think he is with the direction of the team then it’s time to close that chapter. A player with his magnitude could bring in, a defensive stopper like a Josh Smith from Atlanta for example.
15 (12) Jazz 25-20
The Jazz are only one game out of the playoffs and that’s not bad, considering all the injuries they endured this season. Carlos Boozer may be the ace. When he returns from injury, he will either put the Jazz over the hump, or serve as the perfect trade bait, thanks to the improvement of Paul Millsap.
16 (17) Pistons 24-19
The Pistons knew they were taking a risk by trading away Chauncey for Iverson, but they figured it was a calculative one. With Billups they were not going to win a championship and neither will they with Iverson. The good news is, at the end of the season Iverson along with Wallace contracts totaling $35 million will come off the books. This will allow them to sign if not one, maybe two free agents, or they might just wait until the 2010 season when Lebron, Wade, Dirk not to mention a few others will be free agents.
17 (23) Timberwolves 15-27
The Wolves have completely turned the corner and have gone 9-2 over their last 11 games. Too bad they are in the West, because if they were in the East, they would actually make the playoffs if they continued at this pace. I was the hardest critic of Kevin McHale, but I will be first to commend him on a job well done. The Wolves have joined the conversation with the Blazers and Grizzlies, as one of the league’s most intriguing young team.
18 (18) Bobcats 18-26
The Bobcats have been constructed as an Eastern Conference ‘grind it out team.’ A recent trade for Mavs center Diop, only strengthen that claim. The question is will it hold up when they embark on their four game Western Conference trip.
19 (16) Bucks 22-25
The Bucks have a 2-3 record over their last 5 games, but Charlie Villanueva did more than his fair share to help them win. In only 28 minutes per game, he averaged 23ppg, 8.4rpg, while making 57.7 percent of his shots. You can expect Villanueva numbers to increase now that Redd is expected to miss the rest of the season. Richard Jefferson and Bogut will have to follow suit and step up for the Bucks to be competitive.
20 (20) Pacers 17-27
Everyone predicts Danny Granger will make the all-star team for the first time in his career, so I took the liberty of analyzing that claim. 26ppg, 5.1rpg, 3.4apg seems very impressive, but like Eric Snow said the other night, his team is only 17-27. He hasn’t made his teammate better. Also, he is averaging 19.365 shot attempts. If any decent player took 20 shots a game, wouldn’t they too average at least 26ppg. I am not taking anything away from Granger, but he has not made his teammate better and the record shows.
21 (24) Knicks 18-25
The Knicks are once again in the playoff hunt thanks to a 3-1 record in week 13. I am not sure if they will make the playoffs, but in the East anything’s possible. Currently they are only a game behind the Bucks for the eighth and final seed in the East.
22 (21) Nets 20-24
There was a time this season, when the notion of the Nets having two all-stars was actually a high probability. Vince, the perennial all-star and Devin Harris, the first timer. Harris went from averaging as high as 25ppg earlier this season, to 13.4ppg on 32.8 field goal percentage over the last 5 games. The Nets went 1-4 during that stretch and Harris may have ended his chances to make the all-star team because Vince has been more consistent. There’s no way both players will make it now that the Nets are slumping.
23 (22) Raptors 18-28
There’s really nothing to report out of Toronto except a rumor and one highlight. Rumor has it Jermaine for Marion is being discussed as we speak. The highlight is point guard Jose Calderon has not missed a free throw this season, 86 straight to be exact and is 11 away from tying the record of 97 straight makes by Michael Williams. Williams made 84 straight in the 1992-93 season and 13 at the start of the 1993-94 season nba season. Calderon’s 86 straight is the new record for one season, now he’s chasing number 97.
24 (25) Warriors 14-31
Not for Lebron James buzzer beater game winning shot, the Warriors would have gone 3-1. They did welcome back Monte Ellis. I expect a rapid acceleration in the second half of the season, but it may be too late for them to make the playoffs.
25 (19) Bulls 18-27
Since beaten the Cavs on January 15th in a 102-93 overtime victory, the Bulls have gone on to loss five straight. Other than Derrick Rose chase for Rookie of the Year (ROY), Bulls fans have nothing to look forward to this season.
26 (26) Thunder 9-35
The same reason I don’t think Granger and Al Jefferson should make the all-star team, is the same reason Kevin Durant shouldn’t make it. You cannot reward a player with great stats on a terrible team to make the all-star team, when so many deserving players on winning teams warrant more consideration.
27 (27) Grizzlies 11-32
I don’t blame Avery Johnson for passing up the gig, especially when the Mavericks are still paying him. But I will say this, by next season Avery will regret not taking this job because with a high draft pick and a year under their belts, the Grizz will be a much better team.
28 (30) Clippers 10-33
The Clippers are bad and Davis out for 10 games with a strain just seems wrong. He’s clearly given up on his team. I feel bad for the Clips because I think they had great intentions when they signed Davis. I definitely expect Chris Kaman to be moved before the deadline. Considering how terrible they are, they should be looking to reduce their payroll by trading for an expiring contract.
29 (29) Wizards 9-34
Things are looking very bright in D.C these days, but believe me it’s not because of the Wizards. I think Gilbert should take the entire season off. They could have a top 5 pick and Gilbert returning next season making them an instant playoff team again.
30 (28) Kings 10-35
Rumor has it, the Heat are trying to send Marion to the Kings for Brad Miller and Kenny Thomas. Maybe the Kings are looking at a Marion-Martin combo as a nice nucleus. I still believe they should not have fired Reggie Theus.

Tuesday, January 20, 2009

NBA WIZARD 2008-09 POWER RANKING: WEEK 12

RANK (LAST WK)REC.

1 (2) Magic 33-8
I think people better start believing because the Orlando Magic are for real. With Dwight Howard pounding the middle, they more than make up on the perimeter by having the best 3 point shooting team.
2 (1) Cavaliers 31-7
I understand Lebron likes to pace himself, but with Big Z and Delonte West out, the Cavs are losing 26ppg. It’s time for Lebron to be more like Michael Jordan than Oscar Robinson. He has too much ability to keep jacking up long shots or forcing passes.
3 (3) Lakers 31-8
The Lakers should take advantage of Big Z and Delonte out of the Cavs lineup. I expect them to move up even though they’ve been slumping as of late.
4 (4) Celtics 33-9
After losing 4 straight with their last lost against the Cavaliers, the Celtics have recovered nicely winning their last 4 games. I guess they needed a reality check and are happy to finally have the radar off their backs.
5 (5) Spurs 26-13
The Spurs had a light week highlighted by a nail biting 112-111 win over the Lakers to start the week at home. The Lakers felt they should have won the game, but the Spurs are glad to be in the fifth spot.
6 (7) Nuggets 27-14
The Nuggets had a 2-1 record in week 12 and are doing their best to stay afloat with Carmelo out. The one constant to the Nuggets success is Chauncey Billups. He should be an all-star this year along with Carmelo.
7 (6) Hornets 24-13
The Hornets went 2-2 in week 12, but considering the injury to the star forward David West they should be happy, especially because one of those losses was against the perfect 20-0 Cavs in Cleveland.
8 (8) Suns 23-15
I like the Suns, but if Amare doesn’t improve his rebounding and defense, the Suns will be lucky to get to the second round in the playoffs. Shaq is playing well, 18ppg, 9rpg, but his lack of defense combined with Amare means the Suns will struggle all season long to move up.
9 (11) Trail Blazers 24-16
The Trail Blazers management should have put a lid on it, rather than trying to threaten teams against signing Darius Miles. The Memphis Grizzlies called their bluff and now the Blazers have to add $9 million to the salary cap for this season and the next.
10 (9) Rockets 25-16
There’s not much to say about the Rockets other than the obvious. McGrady and Artest are out again yet they managed a 1-1 week. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Rockets are shopping McGrady. The only problem is, with his history of injuries who will take the chance?
11 (18) 76ers 20-20
The Sixers have been the hottest team in the league winning 7 straight games and all the while, Elton Brand, their prized free agent from the summer has been out. This has been a blessing in disguise because when Brand returns, he will have to adjust to the Sixers up and down style and not vice versa.
12 (10) Jazz 24-17
The Jazz are one game behind the Rockets, but are perhaps the most dangerous team in the West. I am not saying they are on the same level as the Lakers, but they are as good as any other team in the West. And when Boozer returns, they will be a team to reckon with.
13 (15) Heat 22-18
D-Wade continues to play well and the Heat are hovering around the six seed in the East. Rumor has it that the Heat may be trying to trade the Shawn Marion to the Raptors for Jermaine O’Neal.
14 (13) Hawks 23-16
The injury bug has made it to the Hawks and being without center Al Harford has taken a toll. A 1-2 record in week 12 was evident of this. Keep in mind, just a few weeks ago, the Hawks believed they were as good as the Magic.
15 (14) Mavericks 23-17
The Mavs, Blazers and Jazz will battle all season long for the last two seeds in the West. After week 12, the Mavs were out. They should be very concern because I think it will boil down to them and the Blazers for the eighth seed in the West.
16 (16) Bucks 20-23
The Bucks have crept back into the playoff picture. Michael Redd is playing like an all-star again, almost 25ppg over the last 4 games.
17 (12) Pistons 22-17
It wouldn’t surprise me to see the Pistons trade Rip Hamilton, or maybe they might just wait and let A.I and Wallace $35 million combined salaries expire after the season. Winning streaks are alternated by losing streaks and inconsistency is the name of the game in Detroit.
18 (19) Bobcats 16-27
With the Nets slumping the Bobcats have crept up to two games behind them for the eighth and final spot in the East. Their recent trade for the Mavs center Dasagna Diop should help bolster their interior defense.
19 (21) Bulls 18-23
The Bulls welcomed back Kirk Hinrick which means Derrick Rose will have some help at the point guard position. Their highlight of the week was the overtime win over the Cavs in Chi-Town.
20 (23) Pacers 15-25
Mike Dunleavy is back from injury and Danny Granger couldn’t be happier. I expect his numbers to increase and I expect him to make the all-star team for the first time in February. Other than that, the Pacers will continue to keep things interesting but lose close games.
21 (17) Nets 19-22
Devin Harris had a good chance of making his first all-star team, but with the Nets recent slump his chances have dwindle as of late. With three straight losses Harris may be losing out to the Orlando Jameer Nelson.
22 (20) Raptors 16-26
With four straight losses, the Raptors have reverted back to their losing ways. I don’t see how they can retain Chris Bosh in 2010 when he becomes a free agent if they don’t improve. Could he be the problem, even though he’s having an all-star season? Or, will the Raptors unload Jermaine O’Neal to the Heat for Shawn Marion
23 (18) Timberwolves 12-16
The Wolves lost a 99-96 nail biter to the Heat after winning their previous five games. They obviously will not make the playoffs, but Kevin McHale has made a difference and they seem to be listening to him.
24 (24) Knicks 15-24
All the Knicks need to do is go on a 4 or 5 game winning streak and they will be right back in the playoffs hunt in the East. Reality check. I don’t expect that to happen and I don’t expect them to make the playoffs.
25 (25) Warriors 12-29
Monte Ellis has began practicing with the team and could be returning soon. Unfortunately it might be a little too late. The Warriors have dug too deep a hole to make the playoffs.
26 (28) Thunder 8-34
The Oklahoma Thunder have moved up considerably from where they were earlier this season. They still have the league’s worst record, but moved up because they have been winning as of late.
27 (26) Grizzlies 11-28
The Grizzlies called the Blazers bluff by signing Darius Miles. The ramifications of this move will be felt by next season, when the Grizzlies become the nba’s new Cinderella team.
28 (27) Kings 10-31
Why was head coach Reggie Theus fired? I’ll tell you why. Because the G.M. Jeff P. was trying to save his job. For as bad as the Kings are playing, I think he might be the first G.M. fired this season.
29 (29) Wizards 8-31
The only thing exciting about D.C these days is the inauguration of Barack Obama, the nation’s first African American President on Tuesday January 20, 2009.
30 (30) Clippers 9-30
The Clippers are doomed this season. I expect either Camby or Kaman to be traded before the deadline. Don’t expect coach / G.M Dunleavy to be fired this season either.

Monday, January 12, 2009

CHRIS KAMAN COULD BE A CAVALIERS VERY SOON

Rather than risk losing Lebron James to free agency in 2010, the Cavaliers may be looking to make another move before the deadline. The Cavaliers have a very valuable trade asset in Wally Szczerbiak, who is in the final year of his contract that pays him $13.775 million. In an effort to show up their front line, the Cavs may be looking to trade for Clippers center Chris Kaman. The terms of the deal are not clear, because the Cavs may have to take either Ricky Davis or Jason Hart for the trade to work under the nba collective bargaining agreement.
The Cavs would trade Wally and unfortunately J.J. Hickson, the rookie whom the Cavs are very fond of to the Clippers in exchange for Chris Kaman, Steve Novak and either, Jason Hart or Ricky Davis. The Clippers would much rather part with Davis, considering his recent suspension by the nba for drug violations. Hart is signed for the rest of the season and is viewed as insurance policy for the backup point guard position, just in case Baron Davis gets injured. This fact makes it very unlikely the Clippers would want to part with Hart.
Since acquiring Marcus Camby from Denver, who is currently second in the league in rebounds and blocks at 13.6rpg and 2.66bpg respectively, Kaman has become expandable. The trade for power forward Zack Randolph pretty much sealed Kaman’s fate. Marcus Camby is sign through next season, which makes it highly unlikely that the Clippers will trade him. Kaman on the other hand is signed for three more seasons after this one. Hence, Kaman is on the trading block and the Cavaliers will be glad to take advantage of his services.
I know Davis may have had some bad blood with Cleveland since being traded from there, but that was way back during Lebron’s sophomore season. Lebron is clearly one of the top two players in basketball and Ricky understands that now. The Cavs will fortify their bench which will have Chris Kaman, Varajao, Ricky Davis and Boobie Gibson among a few others. The Clippers will benefit from having J.J. Hickson’s youth and a boat load of potential. They will also have $13.775 million falling of their books at the end of the season when Wally’s contract expires. The Cavaliers will have the size needed to dominate on the inside, while having the prowess of Lebron and shooters like Mo Williams, Delonte West and Boobie Gibson on the perimeter. This trade makes sense for both teams, but the Cavs will immediately become the favorite to win the nba championship this year, which will make it almost impossible for Lebron to leave.

NBA WIZARD 2008-09 POWER RANKING: WEEK 11

RANK (LAST WK)REC.

1 (2) Cavaliers 29-6
For the first time this season, the top rank team in the nba is not the Lakers or Celtics. The Cavaliers earned the number one rank by handily beaten the Celtics in Cleveland 98-83. Lebron strengthen his position as the league top candidate for the MVP Award with 38 points, 7 rebounds, 6 assist, 4 steals and 3 blocks. He shut down the Celtics Paul Pierce by holding him to 11 points in the game.
2 (1) Lakers 30-6
Yes, I know the Lakers have the best record in basketball, but they had to really struggle down the stretch at home to beat the Heat and the Pacers. The Lakers may play defense in spurts, but if they expect to win the nba championship, they must be more consistent on that end of the court.
3 (4) Magic 30-8
The Magic have been steady all season long. They showed some maturity on the road edging the Spurs in San Antonio 105-98. I expect Magic point guard Jameer Nelson to be selected as a reserve for this year’s all-star team. He has been the catalyst in directing the Magic offense this season.
4 (3) Celtics 30-9
I wouldn’t say the Celtics have lost their confidence, but I will say they are a very shaky team right about now. After losing three straight, the Celtics were hoping to get back on track against the Cavs in Cleveland, but were clearly out played. The Celtics are 2-7 after a 27-2 start and are really soul searching right now.
5 (5) Spurs 24-12
The Spurs seem to have accepted playing second fiddle to the Lakers for the entire season. Needless to say, they are the second best team in the Western Conference and still, nobody is talking about them.
6 (6) Hornets 22-11
The Hornets began the week with a very impressive 116-105 win against the Lakers in L.A. They followed their impressive win with a stinker against the Jazz in Utah and loss 116-90. Chris Paul dominated Deron Williams in the battle of the point guards, but it was not enough for the win. The Hornets ended the week with another impressive win by blowing out the Clippers 107-80 to maintain their sixth rank from the week before.
7 (8) Nuggets 25-13
Even with Carmelo Anthony, the Nuggets leading scorer out for a month, they still have been competitive and posted a 2-1 week. Their lone loss came against the Pistons in Denver in a very close game, 93-90. Anthony is expected to be out for at least two to three more weeks.
8 (9) Suns 21-13
Entering the season, the Suns Amare Stoudemire was anticipating leading the league in scoring. He figured Shaq would be his sidekick. Well, just the opposite has happened. I predicted that for the Suns to be successful, Shaq would have to be more dominant than he was before leaving the Heat. At 17.4ppg and 9rpg, it is fair to say Shaq has not disappointed.
9 (14) Rockets 24-15
I don’t know how they keep doing it, but the Rockets having been finding ways to win when they need to. A 3-1 week and the return of Tracy McGrady have the Rockets being very optimistic as of late.
10 (15) Jazz 22-15
Carlos Boozer was quoted saying he would test the free agent market at the end of the season. I don’t expect the Jazz to let him walk, but it wouldn’t surprise me to see them trade him before the trade deadline, when he returns from his injury. Reason: Paul Millsap, Boozer’s replacement averaged 18.33ppg and 11.66rpg in 3 wins in week 11. He’s been averaging similar numbers since entering the starting lineup. The Jazz believes with minutes he will make up for Boozer, not to mention he is a better defender than Boozer, a staple that Jazz coach Jerry Sloan craves.
11 (13) Trail Blazers 22-15
The Blazers attempted to scare teams by sending out emails to the rest of the league, warning them that the signing of Darius Miles would lead to a law suit. Sorry, but the threats were ignored by the Memphis Grizzlies. If Miles plays two games for Memphis and he will, the Blazers will have to include Miles salary to their cap which will slow down their rapid rise and prevent them from signing certain players.
12 (10) Pistons 22-13
Allen Iverson returned to Denver and led the Pistons to a 93-90 win over his old team. After going 11-11 in the first 22 games after trading for Iverson, the Pistons seem to have made the adjustment by winning 7 out of their last 8 games.
13 (7) Hawks 22-14
The Hawks players sincerely felt that even if the Cavs and Celts were a step above them, at least the Magic were on their level. I for one also shared that sentiment until last week. The Magic beat the Hawks in Atlanta, but followed up with a 121-87 blowout of the Hawks in Orlando. At one point, the Hawks were down 50 points in that game. Add insult to injury, the Hawks Al Hartford was injured in that game and will be out for at least a week. An 0-3 week was the result of all the adversity in Hawks land.
14 (12) Mavericks 22-15
Shaq has come back to haunt the Mavericks all over again. A 25 points, 10 rebounds performance against Eric Dampier, his old nemesis was evident of that. The Mavs started the week with two wins, but ended it with two straight losses to the Suns and the Sacramento Kings.
15 (11) Heat 19-17
The Heat had a miserable 1-3 week with their lone loss coming against the Kings in Sacramento. They even needed overtime to win that game. With his team losing, D-Wade chances of winning the MVP award has dropped from second to fifth place. He still leads the league in scoring with 29ppg.
16 (16) Bucks 18-21
The Bucks went 2-2 in week 11 and should have an upside when center Bogut returns from an injury. They have battle injuries all season and are anticipating their team to be at full strength very soon. Over their last 5 games Charlie Villanueva has been very impressive averaging 19.4ppg. The Bucks could be very interesting if they could get him to play consistently.
17 (17) Nets 18-19
Just when you were rooting for the Nets point guard Devin Harris to make the all-star team, a hammy injury may have put a dent in his armor. Now the Nets Yi is also expected to be out for a month with a recent pinkie injury. I am expecting a downward spiral until both players return to the Nets lineup.
18 (23) 76ers 17-20
Entering week 11, I realize that the 76ers were winning .391 with Brand and .400 without him. After going a perfect 4-0 in week 11, it seems they may be better without him. The Sixers are more of an up tempo that thrives on running the break. Brand slows them down by clogging the middle.
19 (20) Bobcats 14-24
A 2-2 week was decent for a team like the Bobcats, but an overtime win over the slumping Celtics was the highlight. The Bobcats are gauging trade scenarios and I am sure they will make at least one trade before the trade deadline.
20 (18) Raptors 16-22
Nobody is going to trade for Jermaine O’Neal, not when he is due a whopping $23 million next season not to menton $21 million for this season. The Raptors must duplicate what the Phoenix Suns did. Use O’Neal more on offense, similarly to what the Suns did with their O’Neal. It’s that simple and maybe their only choice.
21 (22) Bulls 16-21
As expected, the Bulls are trying to trade Larry Hughes, but unfortunately for them nobody wants Hughes. Ben Gordon is doing his best to keep them competitive with his team leading 21ppg, which should definitely assure him a nice contract extension when he becomes a free agent in the summer.
22 (25) Timberwolves 11-25
Kevin McHale drafted and traded Brandon Roy to the Blazers for Randy Foye. So far the Blazers have gotten the better of the trade and Foye simply hasn’t measured up. All that changed when McHale took over as the head coach. Over the last games all wins, Foye averaged 20.8ppg making 50 percent of his shots. I guess he’s playing his heart out, for the man who traded all-star Brandon Roy for him.
23 (21) Pacers 13-24
Mike Dunleavy returned to the lineup for the first time all season. The impact of his return means, Danny Granger will have another weapon spreading the floor which should allow him to score even easier. For the season, Granger is averaging 26.4ppg and will definitely make the Eastern Conference All-Star team this year.
24 (19) Knicks 13-22
Mike D’Antoni and his New York Knick are an exciting team with their super up tempo style of play. Because they are in the Eastern Conference, I expect them to stay in the playoff race. Maybe they’ll make it as the eighth seed, or maybe they’ll fall short by a hair.
25 (26) Warriors 11-28
The Warriors were not a good team to begin with. Add in all the injuries and their record is indicative of where they should be. Monte Ellis is expected to return soon and along with Jax will play spoiler by beating a few good teams. Too bad they are not in the East, because they would actually make the playoffs by season’s end.
26 (24) Grizzlies 11-26
I commend the Grizzlies for a move that actually benefits them in more ways than not. They figured they will have a very high draft pick, which could be packaged with a player for perhaps a Carlos Boozer or someone of that magnitude. Rookies O.J. Mayo and Gasol will be one year better and so will Rudy Gay. Portland will have to make do with what they have, which in my opinion will almost put the Grizzlies on the same level. So signing Miles was a brilliant move on their part.
27 (28) Kings 9-29
Kevin Martin is back and putting up chunky numbers like I expected him to. Martin is averaging 31.8ppg while making 48.9 percent of his shots over the last 5 games. The Kings were 1-4 during the stretch, but Martin has been the one bright spot. I think if he stays healthy, he could lead the league in scoring this season.
28 (30) Thunder 6-32
Nenad Krstic was an excellent pickup for the Thunder. They were 2-2 in week 11 and their upside looks very promising. I don’t expect them to move up this season, but with their high draft pick and an improve core from this season, you can expect the Thunder to rise rather quickly by next season.
29 (27) Wizards 7-29
Gilbert Arenas will not be returning this season, but I am still disappointed with the Wizards record. With two previous all-stars, I expected a much better record even with Arenas out. The one positive is the Wizards will have a top 5 draft pick and Gilbert Arenas returning to the Roster next season.
30 (29) Clippers 8-29
I definitely expect the Clippers to trade Chris Kaman and rumor has it Cleveland will be his destination. The Clippers are anticipating a high draft pick and a healthy Baron Davis for next season. Also, a good enough cap space will be created by trading Chris Kaman, which should allow them to sign a very good player during the summer.

Tuesday, January 6, 2009

NBA WIZARD 2008-09 POWER RANKING: WEEK 10

RANK (LAST WK)REC.

1 (1) Lakers 27-5
The Lakers maintained their number 1 ranking for a second straight week. They also have the league’s best record to cap things off as well.
2 (2) Cavaliers 27-6
The Cavaliers will be without Big Z for a month due to an ankle injury. A subpar 1-2 week shouldn’t raise any eyebrows yet, but by the end of their West Coast trip coming up, we will be able to really gauge how good the Cavaliers are. With Big Z out, Lebron will have to return to his early season form for the Cavaliers to have any chance of gaining ground on Boston and L.A
3 (3) Celtics 29-6
The Boston Celtics are finally feeling the effects of losing P.J. Brown and James Posey. Like I said before, their nba all time best 27-2 was deceiving because everything had gone perfect. Since then, the Celtics have gone 2-4 and are hoping to obtain the erratic Stephon Maubury if he is released by the Knicks.
4 (4) Magic 26-8
The Magic had a subpar 2-2 week but are still sitting pretty with a 26-8 overall record. Highlights: Dwight Howard is the leading vote getter in the Eastern Conference recent all-star balloting results, thanks to his league leading 13.7 rebounds and 3.63 blocks per game.
5 (5) Spurs 22-11
A 100-98 loss to the Bucks cost the Spurs a perfect 3-0 week. Obviously they are back to being one of the elite teams in the West but, I still think they are a giant step behind the Lakers. They are in that second tier in the Western Conference along with the Nuggets, Hornets and a healthy Houston Rockets.
6 (8) Hornets 20-10
Chris Paul is leading the nba in assist and steals for a second straight season and has the Hornets playing well again after a subpar 5-5 start. They are 15-5 since and went 2-1 in week 10.
7 (6) Hawks 22-11
Last season the Hawks were satisfied with just making the playoffs. This season, they have their sights on making it to the second round of the playoffs with a possible upset of either the Cavaliers or Celtics in the Eastern Conference Finals. The later may be a though feat and almost impossible if you ask me.
8 (7) Nuggets 23-12
How good are the Nuggets, is the question I keep asking? On paper, they seem like the second best team in the West, but I believe they will end up with the 4th or 5th seed in the West. They are ranked 8th after a 3-1 record in week 10.
9 (11) Suns 19-12
Over his last 5 games, the Suns Shaq turned the clock all the way back by averaging 22.2ppg, 11rpg and 2.4bpg. A heartbreaking 91-90 loss to the Spurs kept the Suns from going 5-0, but they still ended up going 4-1.
10 (14) Pistons 21-11
The Pistons had a 4-0 week but three of their games were at home. Their only road win came against the Clippers, one of the worse teams in the league and they barely won 88-87. After going 11-11 since the Iverson trade, the Pistons have reeled of seven straight wins. Maybe they have turned the corner after all.
11 (13) Heat 18-14
The Heat defense has been their biggest improvement under new head coach Eric Spoelstra. Add in D-Wade’s MVP play and you see how the Heat were able to play the Cavs close in Cleveland and beat them in Miami. Regardless of how well they perform, I expect them to finish with the 6th or 7th seed in the East by the end of the season.
12 (10) Mavericks 20-13
Decent record, 2-1 week with a 20-13 overall record means the Mavericks are a playoff team if the season ended today. Outside of that, I don’t expect them to finish better than the 6th seed in the West.
13 (12) Trail Blazers 20-14
The Blazers could not have had a more difficult week. First, they lose their all-star Brandon Roy to a hammy injury. He’s scheduled to be out for at least another week. Without Roy, they faced the Celtics, Hornet and Lakers and somehow beat the recently slumping Celtics. Considering those circumstances I would consider their 1-2 week a good one.
14 (9) Rockets 21-14
The Rockets injury situation is really concerning me. Many experts believe that when healthy, the Rockets are the second best team in the West. Will they ever be completely healthy, is the question?
15 (15) Jazz 19-15
Boozer is schedule to return in a month and the Jazz are currently out of the playoffs. Deron Williams is doing his best to keep his team afloat and if the Rockets don’t get it together they could soon find themselves in the Jazz position.
16 (17) Bucks 16-19
After starting 9-15 with the Bucks have gone 7-4 since. The impressive thing was their 7 wins were by a combined 131 points, an average margin of 18.714. They have literally been blowing teams out while playing excellent defense.
17 (16) Nets 16-18
The Nets went 1-3 in week 10 and have been slumping as of late. The Nets started off terribly going 2-5 in their first 7 games but went on to win 7 of their next 9 giving them a 9-7 overall record. Since then they’ve gone 7-12 and their 16-18 overall record is even better than what I expected them to have after 34 games.
18 (22) Raptors 14-20
I wouldn’t say the Raptors have turned the season around, but after starting the season 10-16 the Raptors are playing .500 ball since and have gone 4-4 over their last eight games.
19 (25) Knicks 13-19
The Knicks 2-2 week was highlighted by their win over the slumping Boston Celtics. The on again, off again Al Harrington has been on again recently with a 22ppg average in week 10.
20 (20) Bobcats 12-22
I would say the Bobcats are better since making the trade for Diaw and Bell. Before the trade, the Bobcats were 7-16 and 5-6 since.
21 (24) Pacers 12-21
The Pacers went 2-1 in week 10 but their overall record is very deceiving. They have lose more close games than any team in the league and should easily be a .500 team. The team’s leading scorer Danny Granger (25.2ppg) will definitely be a first time all-star this year.
22 (18) Bulls 14-20
I think people need to hold on instead of crowning Derrick Rose the NBA ROY when we haven’t even reached half way mark of the season. I think it’s clearly between him and Mayo as of right now, but a 1-3 week and a 14-20 overall record isn’t enough for me to join that band wagon.
23 (19) 76ers 13-20
Before Elton Brand injury the 76ers were 9-14 (.391). Without Brand in the lineup 4-6 (.40). They may be just as good or bad for that matter without Brand. The only problem is, he is due $75 million over the next 5 years including this one.
24 (23) Grizzlies 13-20
With both the Grizz and the Bulls having losing records, the only measurement used for determining the NBA ROY Award should be individual stats and so far I like O.J. Mayo better. A 1-3 week didn’t help his cause.
25 (27) Timberwolves 8-25
I guess Kevin McHale can actually coach after all. The Timberwolves may have won against 3 teams with losing records, but a 3-1 week was still impressive in my book. Let’s see if they can build on it in the upcoming weeks.
26 (21) Warriors 10-25
I don’t understand why Nellie doesn’t play Anthony Morrow a little more. The guy is averaging almost 10ppg in less than 20 minutes. I know Nellie is supposed to be a genius, but am I the only one who sees his potential? I can understand if the Warriors were healthy or at the very least a playoff team.
27 (29) Wizards 7-25
The Wizards could have been the first team in the nba to do two things this season. Be the first team to beat the Cavs in Cleveland, they were up by 7 points with less than two minutes in the game, but found a way to lose. They made up and beat the Cavs in their next meeting in Washington and had to beaten the Cavs earlier, would have been the only team to beat Cleveland twice thus far this season.
28 (28) Kings 8-26
Kevin Martin may have one of the ugliest jumpers in the nba, but there is no disputing that he is a natural born scorer. He averaged 28.3ppg in week 10 after just returning from an injury. He should make the Kings very exciting and it wouldn’t surprise me if he ends up leading the league in scoring.
29 (26) Clippers 8-25
The Clippers signed Baron Davis because they were sure he would team up with forward Elton Brand who bolted for the 76ers. Now there’s talk Davis wants to return back to the Warriors now that he’s got his new contract. Things are just a big mess in Clipperland.
30 (30) Thunder 4-30
The Thunder appears to be the team that will end up with the nba’s worse record unless some drastic changes are made via a trade. Obviously they already fired one coach so I think new head coach Scotty Brooks job is safe at least until the end of the season.